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When you get
caught bluffing, you of course lose. However, you
may not mind being caught and losing early in a
session because you are considering your image for
future hands. You may even make an ill advised bluff
early so that you will get a lot more calls on your
legitimate hands the rest of the night. (Similarly,
an early ill-advised call against tough players
may keep them from bluffing against you the rest
of the night because they fear you're likely to
call their bluffs.)
Creating an image that you almost never bluff can
also be advantageous. I am generally considered
a tight player, and I sometimes pass up an early,
marginally profitable bluffing situation to enhance
this image. What that does is allow me to steal
some pots in the future with complete impunity.
No one imagines I am daring to bluff.
When you are up against even average players, they
are constantly studying the way you play. So considering
the effect of any play on future hands should be
an important part of your game, especially in no-limit
and pot-limit poker and especially when you are
playing against the same people all night or from
one night to the next or one week to the next.
Some players go so far as to argue that bluffs should
show a loss because those losses will be repaid
with interest when they get a lot of action on their
legitimate hands. Game theory, suggests that when
you employ optimal bluffing strategy, you should
break even on your bluffs. However, there is no
reason not to develop a sense of your opponents
and of betting situations so your bluffs show a
profit. A successful bluff wins the whole pot, and
it takes a lot of extra calls of your legitimate
hands to make up for one pot. Therefore, against
all but very tight players, you should bluff slightly
less than optimally so your bluffs show a profit.
The greater your reputation as a tight player, the
more you will be able to get away with bluffs. At
the same time, you will still get caught often enough
to get paid off when you do have a good hand.
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