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Successful
bluffs, particularly in a high-stakes game, have
great drama. Furthermore, people who do not play
much poker often think that bluffing is the central
element of the game. When Stu Ungar appeared on
the Merv Griffin Show the day after he won the 1980
world poker championship, the first question Griffin
asked him was, "Did you bluff very much?"
Many occasional players who visit Las Vegas are
constantly bluffing in the small $1-$3 and $1-$4
games, and they pay dearly for their foolishness.
It's true bluffing is an important aspect of poker,
but it is only one part of the game, certainly no
more important than playing your legitimate hands
correctly. Though a player who never bluffs cannot
expect to win as much money as someone who bluffs
with the proper frequency, most average players
tend to bluff too much, particularly in limit games.
When it costs an opponent only one more bet to see
your hand, it is difficult to get away with a bluff,
for with any kind of hand your opponent is usually
getting sufficient pot odds to call your bet - especially
if he has seen you trying to bluff several times
already.
With this
proviso, it must be repeated that from a theoretical
point of view, bluffing is an extremely important
aspect of poker. As a deceptive weapon, it is at
least as important as slowplaying. Whereas slowplaying
suggests weakness when you have strength, bluffing
announces strength when you are weak. Recollect
the Fundamental Theorem of Poker: Any time an opponent
plays his hand incorrectly based on what you have,
you have gained; and any time he plays his hand
correctly based on what you have, you have lost.
An opponent who knows you never bluff is much less
likely to play his hand incorrectly. Any time you
bet, he will know you are betting for value. He
will play only when he figures he has a better hand
than yours or when he is getting sufficient pot
odds to call with more cards to come. Bluffing,
then, or the possibility that you might be bluffing,
is another way of keeping your opponents guessing.
Your occasional bluffs disguise not just the hands
with which you are in fact bluffing but also your
legitimate hands, with which your opponents know
you might be bluffing.
To see how important bluffing is, imagine that you
are up against an opponent who on the last round
bets $20 into a $100 pot. You are getting 6-to-1
from the pot if you call. However, you know you
can only win, as is often the case, if your opponent
is bluffing. Let's say you know three opponents
well. The first never bluffs in this spot, so your
response to that player's bet is easy: You fold
with the full knowledge that you have not cost yourself
any money. The second opponent frequently bluffs.
Once again your response is easy: You call, knowing
you are going to win that last bet so often that
calling must result in a long-run profit. The third
player is the problem. He bets in such a way that
the odds are about 6-to-1 against his bluffing.
In fact, he can tell you in advance that if he bets,
he will be bluffing once in seven times.
Now you have a tough decision. You must choose between
two equally upsetting alternatives. You are getting
6-to-1 from a pot you can win only if your opponent
is bluffing, and the odds against your opponent's
bluffing are 6-to-1. If you fold, you know there's
a chance your opponent stole the pot from you; but
if you call, you know that six times out of seven
you are simply donating your money to your opponent.
Thus, a person who bluffs with approximately the
right frequency - and also, of course, in a random
way - is a much better poker player and will win
much more money in the long run than a person who
virtually never bluffs or a person who bluffs too
much. The person who never bluffs will never get
much action. The person who always bluffs will get
all the action he wants until he runs out of money.
But the person who bluffs correctly keeps his true
holdings disguised and is constantly forcing his
opponents into tough decisions, some of which are
bound to be wrong.
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